Seasonal variation in soil moisture and altered precipitation may influence the magnitude and duration of flood events.

Submitted by dshannon on

Flood risks for are expected to increase and may threaten the quality of ecosystems, wildlife, property, infrastructure, human health and safety. The potential for flooding is expected to increase in many areas as a result of more frequent and longer-duration heavy precipitation events, particularly when soils are already saturated. The frequency of multiple high flow days in a row are expected to increase by 18% to 19% by end of century (low (RCP 4.5) to high emissions scenario (RCP 8.5) as compared to historical baseline (1951-2005)) (Demaria 2016). Prolonged flooding is influenced by soil moisture conditions, the severity of a rain event, and the human modifications to local land uses that affect water flow, enhance runoff, and reduce water storage. Watershed land-uses that have altered natural areas critical for water storage and reduced soil infiltration opportunities are likely to exacerbate and even intensify flood events, increasing the vulnerability of prolonged events in some areas.