Habitat will become more suitable in New England and northern New York for some southern species.

Submitted by sdhandler on

Model results project that species currently near their northern range limits in the region may become more abundant and more widespread under a range of climate futures.Results from forest impact models suggest that species such as black cherry, chestnut oak, and yellow-poplar may have increases in both suitable habitat and biomass, and some deciduous forest types have the potential for productivity increases across the assessment area. It is important to note that forest communities will not be influenced only by shifts in habitat ranges, but also by species’ ability to actually migrate and establish in new areas. Additionally, warmer climates are also likely to allow for range expansions and increased impacts from a variety of biological stressors, including insect pests, forest diseases, and invasive plant species.

Evidence
Agreement