Forest [FAR1]

Legacy FAR1 strategy/approaches.

Taxonomy Machine Name
niacs_strategy
Taxonomy Alias
far1

Projected decreases in soil moisture during the growing season are not expected to have a strong negative impact on closed woodlands.

Submitted by dshannon on

This type is common on excessively well-drained soils with steeper slopes than open woodlands. Even if conditions become much drier during the summer or fall, as is projected under some scenarios, the species in the system should be able to adapt to those changes.

Climate change may increase fire frequency in closed woodlands across the Central Hardwoods region by the end of the century.

Submitted by dshannon on

This community type is characterized by frequent, low-intensity fires, which are expected to become more common as conditions become warmer and drier later in the growing season. However, if fire severity increases too greatly, fire could have a negative impact.

Flatwoods are unique in their ability to handle a wide range of disturbances, including drought, flooding, and fire.

Submitted by dshannon on

Flatwoods are strongly tied to geologic and soil conditions that result in seasonal flooding and drought, which make them tolerant of a wide range of disturbances, but also unable to expand to new areas and relatively low in diversity.

As conditions become more favorable for fire by the end of the century, a reduction in woody plant encroachment in flatwoods could occur.

Submitted by dshannon on

Woody plant encroachment, a major stressor in this system, is largely the result of fire suppression. As conditions become more favorable for fire by the end of the century, a reduction in woody plant encroachment could occur, depending on management actions and the fragmented nature of the landscape.

Conditions may become more favorable for common invasive cool-season grasses in flatwoods in the short term (next several decades).

Submitted by dshannon on

Current stressors to this system include invasion of the understory by woody plants, reed canarygrass, and fescue. In the short term, increases in CO2 could make conditions more favorable for common invasive cool-season grasses like reed canarygrass and fescue in flatwoods. However, increases in temperature coupled with decreases in water availability during summer could have negative impacts on these species toward the end of the century.

The only dominant species in flatwoods not projected to experience reductions in habitat suitability over the next century is shagbark hickory.

Submitted by dshannon on

The model projections presented for the species that dominate this system are for the entire assessment area, and may not reflect the trajectories of the individuals in this uncommon community type. With that caveat in mind, the projected trajectories are similar across the range of climate models presented.

Post oak, blackjack oak, pin oak and shortleaf pine, dominant species in flatwoods, are projected to increase or not change in habitat suitability over next century.

Submitted by dshannon on

The model projections presented for the species that dominate this system are for the entire assessment area, and may not reflect the trajectories of the individuals in this uncommon community type. With that caveat in mind, the projected trajectories are similar across the range of climate models presented.

The projected increase in fire frequency by the end of the century could have a positive impact on flatwoods.

Submitted by dshannon on

This system is adapted to frequent low- to moderate-intensity fire and should be able to withstand an increase in wildfire frequency. However, if fires are too severe, some species may experience detrimental impacts.

Projected changes in soil moisture could have positive or negative impacts on flatwoods depending on relative magnitude.

Submitted by dshannon on

This system is characterized by soils that are saturated during the cool season and dry during the summer. This soil moisture pattern is expected to be intensified in the future as winter and spring precipitation increases and summer or fall precipitation decreases. Although projected changes are in the direction characteristic of flatwoods, if they are too extreme it could be detrimental.

Wet bottomland forests are highly constrained by topography, impeding migration to new areas.

Submitted by dshannon on

Wet bottomland forests are already at the wettest, lowest elevation areas on the landscape. If conditions become too dry, as are projected for later in the summer or fall under some scenarios, there are no lower, wetter lower places where the species could migrate.