Jack pine is expected to decline across northern Michigan by the end of the century under a range of future scenarios.

This boreal species is already near its southern range limits in Michigan. Multiple forest impact models tend to agree that jack pine is likely to decline in suitable habitat and biomass across a range of climate scenarios by the end of the century. Red pine is also projected to decline in biomass and suitable habitat, particularly under hotter, drier climate scenarios. Overall, low species diversity gives this forest type few alternatives if conditions shift beyond tolerable limits