Many lowland conifer tree species are expected to decline, including including balsam fir, black ash, black spruce, eastern hemlock, eastern white pine, red spruce, tamarack, and northern white-cedar. Yellow birch and red maple may also decline.

Submitted by sdhandler on

Multiple forest impact models tend to agree that many species are more likely to decline in suitable habitat and biomass across a range of climate scenarios by the end of the century. These are largely northern species near their southern range limits in the Mid-Atlantic region. Yellow birch and red maple are projected to decline under the high emissions scenario only. Common associate species, such as American beech, American elm, and white ash, may not be able to increase as much as projected due to substantial impacts from insects and diseases. Some southerly-distributed hardwood species that are currently infrequent or absent in the assessment area are projected to gain additional suitable habitat, including white oak, sassafras, and yellow-poplar.