Suitable habitat for southern species will increase in the Central Appalachians.

Submitted by dshannon on

Model results project that tree species currently at their northern range limits south of the Central Appalachians will become more abundant and more widespread. The range of eastern redcedar currently occupies a small portion of its range within the Central Appalachians. The range of loblolly pine lays largely to the south, although disjunct populations have been planted in some locations within Ohio and Maryland. Models agree that loblolly pine, shortleaf pine, and post oak will fare well in terms of habitat and basal area. Several species that do not currently exist within the Central Appalachians are projected to have new suitable habitat: water oak, water locust, and cedar elm. However, habitat fragmentation and the limited dispersal ability of seeds is expected to hinder movement of these southern species despite the increase in habitat suitability . Most tree species can be expected to migrate more slowly than their habitats will shift. As suitable habitat increases for some tree species and decreases for others, there will be new opportunities to become new components of novel forest types or commercial plantations.